On a recent episode of the “On Brand with Donny Deutsch” podcast, host Donny Deutsch expressed concern about Vice President Kamala Harris’ current polling against former President Donald Trump. A recent Suffolk University poll showed Harris with a significant lead of 76% to 12% among black voters, but Deutsch pointed out that this is a narrower margin than President Joe Biden received in the 2020 election, where he secured 87% of the black vote. Deutsch warned that Trump’s history of outperforming his poll numbers should be cause for concern for Harris and her supporters.
“I worry about the polls because they tend to under-deliver for Trump,” Deutsch said. “A lot of people are embarrassed to say they’re voting for him, but secretly vote for him. And there are also some troubling numbers. While Harris is moving in the right direction, she is still underperforming compared to what Biden did with people of color. There is still work to be done there.”
Deutsch is not the only one raising red flags about Harris’ polling. In June, Democratic strategist James Carville warned about men, particularly “Hispanic males,” ditching the Democratic Party. And according to CNN’s late August polling in six battleground states, Trump is leading Harris among white likely voters without college degrees in Pennsylvania by 32 points and in Georgia by 44 points. Even CNN’s political director David Chalian acknowledged these numbers as “a trouble sign for Harris.”
But it’s not just the polls that should be concerning for Harris and her supporters. NBC News national political correspondent Steve Kornacki pointed out that despite Harris’ slim lead over Trump in the polls, the former president has a significant chance of victory in the electoral college. Kornacki noted that Trump has a track record of outperforming polling expectations, citing both the 2016 and 2020 elections as examples.
“Take a look at the last two elections, 2020 and 2016,” Kornacki said. “In both cases, the polling at this point showed the Democratic candidate with a significant lead, yet Trump managed to come out on top in 2016 and came very close in 2020. This shows that Trump has a history of running from behind and still coming out victorious.”
These warning signs should not be taken lightly by Harris and her team. The fact that she is underperforming among people of color and struggling to garner support from key demographics should be a cause for concern. And the track record of Trump outperforming his poll numbers should not be ignored. Despite Harris’ current lead, it is clear that Trump still has a significant chance of winning in the electoral college, which ultimately decides the outcome of the election.
It’s also worth considering why Harris is struggling to gain support from certain groups, such as nonwhite voters and those without college degrees. Perhaps it is due to her lack of accomplishments and policies that resonate with these demographics. Or perhaps it is because they do not see her as a strong or relatable leader. Whatever the reason may be, it is clear that Harris has work to do in order to secure the support of key voting blocs.
Donny Deutsch Expresses 'Worry' Over 'Troubling Numbers' For Harris As Trump Usually Outperforms Polls pic.twitter.com/uwrFq2ySXK
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 5, 2024
Trump, who has a track record of delivering results and resonating with a wide range of voters, Harris’ track record is lacking. Her time as vice president has been marked by inaction and gaffes, and her previous political career has been unremarkable. It’s no wonder that she is struggling to gain support from key groups and that Trump may have a strong chance of defeating her in the electoral college.
The current polling and trends should be a cause for concern for Harris and her supporters. Trump has a history of outperforming his poll numbers and there are clear warning signs that Harris is struggling to secure support from key voting blocs. It’s time for Harris to take a closer look at her campaign strategy and policies if she wants to stand a chance against Trump in November.